Notice that Paul Ryan literally couldn’t buy a win from this guy.
Trump is in the Lead
More people are catching on to how the fake news manufactures polls to shape public opinion. Mark Levin reviews this story from The National Pulse on his show today: The main reason for the fake polls is to demoralize the losing side. The idea is to instill a sense of helplessness and inevitability so people […]
Same clichés, promises and buzzwords. He didn’t keep the promises of the 2008 speech, he won’t keep promises in the 2020 speech. Additional Details: After video was published, Twitter users pounced. They demanded the video be reported for ‘manipulated media.’ But, both 2008 and 2020 are sped up at the same rate to meet Twitter’s […]
Last week’s CNN poll showed a tightening race. Why? The poll did not over-sample Democrats as bad as previous polls. The poll did not under-sample Republicans as bad as previous polls. In short, the sample size almost reflected the turnout ratios of Republican, Democrats and independent voters. So why the sudden improvement in accuracy? Could […]
For a poll to be predictive, the pollster needs to understand who will show up on election day. Polls that try to predict turnout on Election Day, describe their sample as likely voters. Polls that sample registered or eligible voters are not intentionally predictive. Each Election Year, a significant percentage of registered voters do not […]
Here is the Data–You Decide
The media continues to publish polls that assume a turnout completely different from 2016. The latest CNBC poll (Aug. 12), which has Biden up by 6 points, is no different. Highlights – significant oversampling of younger voters and undersampling of older voters. The CNBC poll oversampled 18-49 year olds by 20%, compared to 2016 turnout. […]